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 Jim Geelen, Bert Gerards, and Geoﬀ Whittle Solved Rota’s Conjecture on Matroids
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 Next Week in Jerusalem: Special Day on Quantum PCP, Quantum Codes, Simplicial Complexes and Locally Testable Codes
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 Test Your Intuition (23): How Many Women?
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 Answer: Lord Kelvin, The Age of the Earth, and the Age of the Sun
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Category Archives: Test your intuition
Test Your Intuition (23): How Many Women?
How many women can you find on this poster announcing the 25th Jerusalem School in Economics Theory devoted to Matching and Market Design? Please respond to the poll:
Answer to Test Your Intuition (22)
Indeed, most people got it right! Bundling sometimes increases revenues, sometimes keeps revenues the same, and sometimes decreases revenues. In fact, this is an interesting issue which was the subject of recent research effort. So here are a few … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Test your intuition
Tagged Auctions, Noam Nisan, Sergiu Hart, Test your intuition
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Test your intuition (22): Selling Two Items in a Bundle.
One item You have one item to sell and you need to post a price for it. There is a single potential buyer and the value of the item for the buyer is distributed according to a known probability distribution. It … Continue reading
Auctionbased Tic Tac Toe: Solution
Reshef, Moshe and Sam The question: (based on discussions with Reshef Meir, Moshe Tennenholtz, and Sam Payne) Tic Tac Toe is played since anciant times. For the common version, where the two players X and O take turns in marking … Continue reading
Test Your Intuition (21): Auctions
You run a singleitem sealed bid auction where you sell an old camera. There are three bidders and the value of the camera for each of them is described by a certain (known) random variable: With probability 0.9 the value … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Games, Test your intuition
Tagged Auctions, Roger Myerson, Test your intuition
4 Comments
Oz’ Balls Problem: The Solution
A commentator named Oz proposed the following question: You have a box with n red balls and n blue balls. You take out each time a ball at random but, if the ball was red, you put it back in the box and take out … Continue reading
Posted in Probability, Test your intuition
Tagged Erosion, J. F. C. Kingman, Probability, S. E. Volkov
1 Comment
Answer: Lord Kelvin, The Age of the Earth, and the Age of the Sun
Yeshu Kolodni and Lord Kelvin The question In 1862, the physicist William Thomson (who later became Lord Kelvin) of Glasgow published calculations that fixed the age of Earth at between 20 million and 400 … Continue reading
Posted in Geology, Physics, Test your intuition
4 Comments
Test your Intuition/Knowledge: What was Lord Kelvin’s Main Mistake?
The age of the earth (Thanks to Yeshu Kolodny) We now know that the age of the earth is 4.54±1% Billion years. From Wikipedea: In 1862, the physicist William Thomson (who later became Lord Kelvin) of Glasgow published calculations that … Continue reading
Posted in Controversies and debates, Geology, Physics, Test your intuition
Tagged Earth, Geology, Lord Kelvin, Test your intuition
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Taking balls away: Oz’ Version
This post is based on a comment by Oz to our question about balls with two colors: “There is an interesting (and more difficult) variation I once heard but can’t recall where: You have a box with n red balls … Continue reading
Posted in Guest post, Probability, Test your intuition
Tagged Oz, Probability, Test your intuition
14 Comments
Answer to test your intuition (18)
You have a box with n red balls and n blue balls. You take out balls one by one at random until left only with balls of the same color. How many balls will be left (as a function of n)? … Continue reading
Posted in Probability, Test your intuition
Tagged Itai Benjamini, Probability, random permutation, Ronen Eldan, Test your intuition
3 Comments