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 Friendship and Sesame, Maryam and Marina, Israel and Iran
 Elchanan Mossel’s Amazing Dice Paradox (your answers to TYI 30)
 TYI 30: Expected number of Dice throws
 Test your intuition 29: Diameter of various random trees
 Micha Perles’ Geometric Proof of the ErdosSos Conjecture for Caterpillars
 Touching Simplices and Polytopes: Perles’ argument
 Where were we?
 Call for nominations for the Ostrowski Prize 2017
 Problems for Imre Bárány’s Birthday!
Top Posts & Pages
 Friendship and Sesame, Maryam and Marina, Israel and Iran
 Elchanan Mossel's Amazing Dice Paradox (your answers to TYI 30)
 TYI 30: Expected number of Dice throws
 Answer: Lord Kelvin, The Age of the Earth, and the Age of the Sun
 Test your intuition 29: Diameter of various random trees
 Polymath 10 Emergency Post 5: The ErdosSzemeredi Sunflower Conjecture is Now Proven.
 A Breakthrough by Maryna Viazovska Leading to the Long Awaited Solutions for the Densest Packing Problem in Dimensions 8 and 24
 Where were we?
 Test your intuition 28: What is the most striking common feature to all these remarkable individuals
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Category Archives: Test your intuition
Test your intuition (22): Selling Two Items in a Bundle.
One item You have one item to sell and you need to post a price for it. There is a single potential buyer and the value of the item for the buyer is distributed according to a known probability distribution. It … Continue reading
Auctionbased Tic Tac Toe: Solution
Reshef, Moshe and Sam The question: (based on discussions with Reshef Meir, Moshe Tennenholtz, and Sam Payne) Tic Tac Toe is played since anciant times. For the common version, where the two players X and O take turns in marking … Continue reading
Test Your Intuition (21): Auctions
You run a singleitem sealed bid auction where you sell an old camera. There are three bidders and the value of the camera for each of them is described by a certain (known) random variable: With probability 0.9 the value … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Games, Test your intuition
Tagged Auctions, Roger Myerson, Test your intuition
4 Comments
Oz’ Balls Problem: The Solution
A commentator named Oz proposed the following question: You have a box with n red balls and n blue balls. You take out each time a ball at random but, if the ball was red, you put it back in the box and take out … Continue reading
Posted in Probability, Test your intuition
Tagged Erosion, J. F. C. Kingman, Probability, S. E. Volkov
1 Comment
Answer: Lord Kelvin, The Age of the Earth, and the Age of the Sun
Yeshu Kolodni and Lord Kelvin The question In 1862, the physicist William Thomson (who later became Lord Kelvin) of Glasgow published calculations that fixed the age of Earth at between 20 million and 400 … Continue reading
Posted in Geology, Physics, Test your intuition
7 Comments
Test your Intuition/Knowledge: What was Lord Kelvin’s Main Mistake?
The age of the earth (Thanks to Yeshu Kolodny) We now know that the age of the earth is 4.54±1% Billion years. From Wikipedea: In 1862, the physicist William Thomson (who later became Lord Kelvin) of Glasgow published calculations that … Continue reading
Posted in Controversies and debates, Geology, Physics, Test your intuition
Tagged Earth, Geology, Lord Kelvin, Test your intuition
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Taking balls away: Oz’ Version
This post is based on a comment by Oz to our question about balls with two colors: “There is an interesting (and more difficult) variation I once heard but can’t recall where: You have a box with n red balls … Continue reading
Posted in Guest post, Probability, Test your intuition
Tagged Oz, Probability, Test your intuition
14 Comments
Answer to test your intuition (18)
You have a box with n red balls and n blue balls. You take out balls one by one at random until left only with balls of the same color. How many balls will be left (as a function of n)? … Continue reading
Posted in Probability, Test your intuition
Tagged Itai Benjamini, Probability, random permutation, Ronen Eldan, Test your intuition
3 Comments
Itai Ashlagi, Yashodhan Kanoria, and Jacob Leshno: What a Difference an Additional Man makes?
We are considering the stable marriage theorem. Suppose that there are n men and n women. If the preferences are random and men are proposing, what is the likely average women’s rank of their husbands, and what is the likely average … Continue reading
Test Your Intuition (19): The Advantage of the Proposers in the Stable Matching Algorithm
Stable mariage The GaleShapley stable matching theorem and the algorithm. GALESHAPLEY THEOREM Consider a society of n men and n women and suppose that every man [and every woman] have a preference (linear) relation on the women [men] he [she] knows. Then … Continue reading