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Recent Posts
 Gil’s Collegial Quantum Supremacy Skepticism FAQ
 Amazing! Keith Frankston, Jeff Kahn, Bhargav Narayanan, Jinyoung Park: Thresholds versus fractional expectationthresholds
 Starting today: Kazhdan Sunday seminar: “Computation, quantumness, symplectic geometry, and information”
 The story of Poincaré and his friend the baker
 Gérard Cornuéjols’s baker’s eighteen 5000 dollars conjectures
 Noisy quantum circuits: how do we know that we have robust experimental outcomes at all? (And do we care?)
 Test Your Intuition 40: What Are We Celebrating on Sept, 28, 2019? (And answer to TYI39.)
 Quantum computers: amazing progress (Google & IBM), and extraordinary but probably false supremacy claims (Google).
 Jeff Kahn and Jinyoung Park: Maximal independent sets and a new isoperimetric inequality for the Hamming cube.
Top Posts & Pages
 Gil's Collegial Quantum Supremacy Skepticism FAQ
 Amazing! Keith Frankston, Jeff Kahn, Bhargav Narayanan, Jinyoung Park: Thresholds versus fractional expectationthresholds
 Amazing: Hao Huang Proved the Sensitivity Conjecture!
 Quantum computers: amazing progress (Google & IBM), and extraordinary but probably false supremacy claims (Google).
 TYI 30: Expected number of Dice throws
 Jeff Kahn and Jinyoung Park: Maximal independent sets and a new isoperimetric inequality for the Hamming cube.
 Answer: Lord Kelvin, The Age of the Earth, and the Age of the Sun
 The story of Poincaré and his friend the baker
 Amazing: Ryan Alweiss, Shachar Lovett, Kewen Wu, Jiapeng Zhang made dramatic progress on the Sunflower Conjecture
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Tag Archives: Probability
Oz’ Balls Problem: The Solution
A commentator named Oz proposed the following question: You have a box with n red balls and n blue balls. You take out each time a ball at random but, if the ball was red, you put it back in the box and take out … Continue reading
Posted in Probability, Test your intuition
Tagged Erosion, J. F. C. Kingman, Probability, S. E. Volkov
1 Comment
Taking balls away: Oz’ Version
This post is based on a comment by Oz to our question about balls with two colors: “There is an interesting (and more difficult) variation I once heard but can’t recall where: You have a box with n red balls … Continue reading
Posted in Guest blogger, Probability, Test your intuition
Tagged Oz, Probability, Test your intuition
14 Comments
Answer to test your intuition (18)
You have a box with n red balls and n blue balls. You take out balls one by one at random until left only with balls of the same color. How many balls will be left (as a function of n)? … Continue reading
Posted in Probability, Test your intuition
Tagged Itai Benjamini, Probability, random permutation, Ronen Eldan, Test your intuition
3 Comments
Midrasha Talks are Now Online
Itai Benjamini listening to Gadi Kozma There are 41 lectures from the Midrasha on Probability and Geometry: The Mathematics of Oded Schramm which are now online. Joram Lindenstrauss’s concluding lecture (click on the picture to see) Laci Lovasz More pictures … Continue reading
Posted in Combinatorics, Conferences, Probability
Tagged Geometry, Oded Schramm, Probability
4 Comments
Itamar Pitowsky: Probability in Physics, Where does it Come From?
I came across a videotaped lecture by Itamar Pitowsky given at PITP some years ago on the question of probability in physics that we discussed in two earlier posts on randomness in nature (I, II). There are links below to … Continue reading
Posted in Obituary, Philosophy, Physics, Probability
Tagged Itamar Pitowsky, Philosophy of science, Physics, Probability
2 Comments
A Problem on Planar Percolation
Conjecture (Gady Kozma): Prove that the critical probability for planar percolation on a Cayley graph of the group is always an algebraic number. Gady mentioned this conjecture in his talk here about percolation on infinite Cayley graphs. (Update April 30: Today Gady mentioned … Continue reading